14.07.2021
Digging into the government report on UFOs
In a Q&A, historian of science Kate Dorsch illuminates the history behind reporting and investigating UFO sightings and contextualizes the new government report on such phenomena.
Tucked in the $2.3 trillion COVID-19 relief package that passed in December was a stipulation initially overlooked by many. As part of the Intelligence Authorization Act, the government was required to publicly release the findings of its investigations of unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP), commonly referred to as unidentified flying objects (UFOs).
Now that the report is out, folks are paying attention. With headlines like “The Pentagon won’t rule out aliens,” and “Are skies alive with UFOs?” the release has renewed interest in these unusual sightings.
For Kate Dorsch, the report was eagerly awaited, if unsurprising in how little new information it revealed. Dorsch, a historian of science, completed her dissertation on UFO-sighting investigations carried out during the Cold War and sees in this latest report a continuation of themes that hearken back to an earlier era.
In a conversation with Penn Today, Dorsch explains the motivation behind the new assessment, how certain witnesses of unexplained phenomena are seen as more trustworthy than others, and why she’s neither a cynic nor a true believer in UFOs.
Kate Dorsch is a science, technology, and society postdoctoral lecturer in the University of Pennsylvania School of Arts & Sciences’ Department of History and Sociology of Science.
Quelle: Penn Today, University of Pennsylvania
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UAPs and the limits of our technology
Unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) have long existed in the popular imagination, and they have been a hot topic for many conspiracists. Now, the United States Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) has published an official report concerning UAP, though it does little to debunk many of the conspiracies about these otherworldly phenomena.
Before anyone can jump to conclusions about extraterrestrial beings visiting Earth, let’s first understand what UAP are, how the military has handled their existence and what our current understanding of these phenomena are.
First, unidentified aerial phenomena—the preferential title, according to the ODNI report, as opposed to unidentified flying objects (UFOs)—are exactly that: unidentified. They are ill-understood, and, while unknown circumstances make for great inspiration in art, reality is far more mundane than many might expect.
The report published by ODNI offers no conclusive evidence that incidents involving UAP are or are not extraterrestrial. Had it done so, these incidents would no longer be considered “unidentified.” A total of 143 reports remain unexplained, with at least 18 incidents exhibiting technological capabilities beyond the intelligence of the United States.
The report explains that UAP most likely lack a single explanation, and can be sorted into five categories: airborne clutter, natural atmospheric phenomena, classified U.S. developmental or industrial programs, foreign adversary systems or the miscellaneous “other.”
Airborne clutter—which includes objects such as birds, balloons, plastic bags and other debris—is a frequent contender for many UAP explanations. Considering the amount of debris we’ve accumulated in space and in our oceans, it’s not difficult to imagine aerial debris as a potential explanation for assumed evidence of extraterrestrial life.
As stated in ODNI’s report, natural atmospheric phenomena can include ice crystals, moisture and thermal fluctuations that may register on standard infrared and radar systems.
Perhaps more elusive than the “other” category itself, ODNI reports that some UAP observations may be the result of classified programs developed by U.S. entities. Of course, it can not be entirely confirmed if that is the case, and little is known about what this category implies.
Technologies developed by foreign entities, or perhaps by no nation-state at all, are also not ruled out in the categories for potential explanations, although the report states that there is little evidence to suggest that foreign technologies are currently capable of registering as UAP. This subject has, however, been of particular interest to the U.S. Intelligence Community because of fears about national security threats.
Finally, everything that remains scientifically inexplicable is placed in the “other” category, but this is likely due to a lack of data and limited analytical capabilities rather than extraterrestrial technology.
What makes the phenomena unidentifiable or unexplainable has to do with current limitations of maneuverability. Three declassified videos show an object moving upwind at abnormally high speeds without observable propulsion. Currently, the fastest aircraft in the world is the SR-71 Blackbird, which relies on jet propulsion and an extremely particular design.
It is unknown how the Blackbird’s maneuverability and speed compares to the UAP in the declassified reports. In fact, no official numbers were found in the report detailing exactly how fast the UAP were traveling. Instead, the report simply states that the objects were “unusually fast.”
The propulsion of all jets, rockets and planes are explained by the same principle: Newton’s third law of motion. The law states that all forces exist in pairs, and aircraft exploit that law to forcefully eject large amounts of matter from a system, producing an equal and opposite reaction that pushes the object forward.
Several key UAP have yet to be explained because they seemingly defy the very foundational laws of physics.
The observations in the report are perhaps not impossible to reproduce, but, if the objects are confirmed to be aircraft, this could fundamentally change the way we think about our current laws of physics. The same reasoning is also why UAP are unlikely to be the result of foreign technology, since the laws of physics apply throughout the world, not just in the U.S.
There is still plenty about the universe that we do not understand, which is the reason why science and technology research exists in the first place. ODNI’s report does nothing to enhance our understanding; it only reiterates that it too has yet to fully identify everything on our planet. Whether UAP are the result of E.T. “phoning home” is doubtful—however disappointing that may be.
Quelle: Portland State's student-run newspaper
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Update: 15.07.2021
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Why the military should work with scientists to study the UFO phenomenon
UFOs have been in the news a lot lately. I am a research astronomer who has written and edited books and created a free online course about the search for life in the universe. While I think we are making progress on detecting life beyond Earth, I view UFOs from a skeptical standpoint, since the evidence that they represent aliens visiting the Earth is unconvincing.
Last month, a report from the Office of the Director on National Intelligence dropped on Congress. It described 144 sightings by military personnel over a 17-year period, preferring to use the term UAP, for unidentified aerial phenomenon, in part to avoid the stigma attached to UFOs.
For those like me waiting for definitive statements, the report was a big disappointment. It declined to draw any conclusions, saying the available data is “largely inconclusive” and noting it is limited and inconsistently reported. The report worried about increased air “clutter,” and left open the possibility that some UAP sightings represent advanced technologies of foreign adversaries, with significant national security implications.
As for UFOs as alien spacecraft, the report was agnostic. It scrupulously avoided using the words alien or extraterrestrial. That will do little to discourage “true believers.” Nearly half of all Americans think aliens are visiting the Earth, and the UFO phenomenon has become enmeshed in a web of conspiracy theories that include accounts of abduction by aliens and crop circles. These conspiracy theories have undoubtedly been fueled in part by the fact that the military has been secretly investigating UFOs for decades. Any rational debate over UFOs must contend with the fact that they have taken deep root in the public consciousness.
Will the report, and increased transparency by the military, change anything? Will it help draw scientists like me into a serious study of the phenomenon?
Scientists will have to get over their reticence to engage with the sightings. We are in an awkward position. Rapid progress in finding planets orbiting other stars has led to a projection of 300 million habitable planetsin our galaxy. There has been plenty of time for life on some of those planets to evolve intelligence and technology. We don’t deny the possibility of aliens traveling from their star system to ours. We are just unconvinced by the data presented so far. Most sightings can be attributed to weather balloons or astronomical phenomena such as meteors, fireballs, and Venus. There are many resources giving mundane explanations for UFO sightings.
There have been academic studies of UFOs before. In 1968, the Condon Report said that that no scientific knowledge had been gained from two decades of study of the phenomenon. But 20 years later, a review led by Stanford professor Peter Sturrock concluded that some sightings are accompanied by physical evidence that warrants investigation. It is telling that after decades of studies and hundreds of thousands of sightings, UFOs have not reached the gold standard in science for confirming any hypothesis: reproducible evidence.